Table 3 |
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Estimated number of children under the age of five by province and their modelled treatment seeking for fever at the nearest public health facility |
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Estimated number of children under five years of age in 2009 |
Estimated number of children under five years of age within a PHF1 catchment |
Estimated number of fever cases among children under five years of age based on MIS prevalence |
Number(Percentage) of children under five years of age with fever likely to attend a PHF1 |
Number(Percentage) of children under five years of age with fever not likely to attend a PHF1 |
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|
|
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Region |
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|
Caprivi |
8,881 |
8,741 |
2,433 |
1,637(67.3) |
796(32.7) |
|
Kavango |
20,244 |
20,374 |
4,825 |
3,264(67.6) |
1,561(32.4) |
|
Kunene |
8,192 |
7,363 |
1,425 |
588(41.3) |
837(58.7) |
|
Ohangwena |
32,167 |
30,863 |
3,793 |
2,695(71) |
1,098(29.0) |
|
Omaheke |
11,550 |
11,051 |
1,974 |
1,060(53.7) |
914(46.3) |
|
Omusati |
27,386 |
26,993 |
3,478 |
2,522(72.5) |
956(27.5) |
|
Oshana |
14,973 |
13,088 |
2,186 |
1,648(75.4) |
538(24.6) |
|
Oshikoto |
19,918 |
23,6612 |
1,395 |
932(66.8) |
463(33.2) |
|
Otjozondjupa |
18,977 |
18,160 |
3,321 |
1,868(56.3) |
1,453(43.7) |
|
Travel time |
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|
< 30 minutes |
51,791 |
51,791 |
8,021 |
6,056(75.5) |
1,965(24.5) |
|
> 30 minutes - < 1 hour |
98,620 |
98,620 |
14,902 |
11,218(75.3) |
3,684(24.7) |
|
> 1 - < 2 hours |
138,219 |
138,219 |
19,035 |
14,136(74.3) |
4,898(25.7) |
|
> 2 - < 3 hours |
160,294 |
160,294 |
20,799 |
15,279(73.5) |
5,520(26.5) |
|
> 3 hours |
1,992 |
- |
4,031 |
934(23.2) |
3,096(76.8) |
|
Probability of attendance |
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|
< 0.50 |
13,698 |
11,808 |
2,277 |
19(0.8) |
2,258(99.2) |
|
> 0.50 - < 0.60 |
7,820 |
7,908 |
1,356 |
717(52.9) |
639(47.1) |
|
> 0.60- < 0.70 |
18,944 |
18,963 |
2,928 |
1,925(65.7) |
1,003(34.3) |
|
> 0.70- < 0.75 |
120,862 |
121,615 |
18,269 |
13,553(74.2) |
4,716(25.8) |
|
|
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|
Total |
162,286 |
160,2943 |
24,830 |
16,214 (65.3) |
8,616 (34.7) |
|
|
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1. PHF is an abbreviation for 'Public Health Facility', which in this case does not include private facilities or privates for profit 2. For Oshikoto region, the estimated number of children (0-4 years) slightly exceeds the overall population estimate for the region. This is because the catchment boundaries in some cases overlap the regional boundaries 3. The total number of children 0-4 years old in catchment boundaries was lower than the total estimated under fives population because of (a) not all children within the catchment were assumed to use the public health facility (b) the catchment boundaries did not covering 100% of the entire population by limiting maximum travel time to 3 hours from the decay model |
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Alegana et al. International Journal of Health Geographics 2012 11:6 doi:10.1186/1476-072X-11-6 |
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